🌐 Global Economy 1d ago · Menzie Chinn

CPI Upside Surprise

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CPI Upside Surprise
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High relative to Bloomberg consensus , +0.4% vs. +0.3% m/m for headline, +0.3 vs. +0.2% for core:


Figure 1: CPI (blue, left scale), Bloomberg consensus (light blue square, left log scale), core CPI (red, right log scale), Bloomberg consensus (red triangle, right log scale), 1982-84=100. Source: BLS, Bloomberg.
How do the various measures compare?

Figure 2: CPI (bold black, ) CPI wage (red), CPI chained n.s.a. (green), CPI ex-shelter (orange), PCE deflator (purple), PPI (teal), S&P Global

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