5 "Plan A" scenarios
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https://ai-2040.com/ is a compelling look at one path forward in a world where the US decides to cooperate with China to slow down transformative AI, to buy us time to do it safely. (Ok, it has a bunch of potential paths forward, but one key path involving cooperation.)To me, the key insight in Plan A is that you need a set of layered defenses, a full stack that covers what you govern (e.g. chips, weights, capabilities, outcomes), how you verify (e.g. hardware, facilities, inspectors), and incen
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