Dario probably doesn't believe in superintelligence
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Epistemic status: I think the headline claim is true, and that the evidence within is actually quite strong in a bayesian sense, but don't think the post itself is very well written or particularly interesting. But I had to get 500 words out! I think the 2013 conversation is interesting reading as a piece of history, separate from the top-level question, and recommend reading that.I think many people have a relationship with Anthropic that is premised on a false belief: that Dario Amodei belie
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