Russian Diesel Deal and Energy Ceasefire Expose Moscow’s Limits
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Executive Summary:
The U.S.–Russian diesel deal and an uncoordinated Russia–Ukraine energy ceasefire generated diplomatic commotion over the last week. Russia’s narrow capacity for an increase in diesel exports and unwillingness to pause strikes on Ukrainian civilian infrastructure exposed the limited potential of both deals.
Ukrainian strikes targeted Russia’s military and digital infrastructure more frequently over the first half of October, seriously damaging six Su-34s and four major
The U.S.–Russian diesel deal and an uncoordinated Russia–Ukraine energy ceasefire generated diplomatic commotion over the last week. Russia’s narrow capacity for an increase in diesel exports and unwillingness to pause strikes on Ukrainian civilian infrastructure exposed the limited potential of both deals.
Ukrainian strikes targeted Russia’s military and digital infrastructure more frequently over the first half of October, seriously damaging six Su-34s and four major
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