The Augmentation-Automation Race
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The actual effects of AI on the labor market still seem shrouded in deep uncertainty. When it comes to predictions on near-term impacts, we can see two camps emerge. A deep bench of established and renowned labor economists continues to expect “small” effect sizes, at least by the standards of the drastic predictions common in San Francisco. They predict local disruptions, yes, but expect they’ll be offset by broad-based productivity gains and job growth in other fields. Yet in much of Silicon V
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