Why Prediction Market Signals Rarely Override Crypto Investors’ Existing Bets
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Prediction markets now give crypto investors live odds for price targets, regulation, and economic events. Yet research has not established how often those signals change portfolios. The stronger evidence shows how market structure and investor confidence shape the way traders interpret them.
Event-contract trading has expanded sharply. Combined monthly volume on Kalshi and Polymarket rose from under $5 billion in September 2025 to about $24 billion in April 2026
Regulatory attention has i
Event-contract trading has expanded sharply. Combined monthly volume on Kalshi and Polymarket rose from under $5 billion in September 2025 to about $24 billion in April 2026
Regulatory attention has i
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