🌐 Global Economy 1d ago · Menzie Chinn

Forecasts and Nowcasts

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Forecasts and Nowcasts
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The August Survey of Professional Forecasters is out:


Figure 1: GDP (bold black), Survey of Professional Forecasters (blue), GDPNow of 8/14 (light blue square), NY Fed nowcast of 8/14 (red triangle), GS tracking of 8/14 (purple +), all in bn.Ch.2017$ SAAR. Source: BEA 2026Q2 advance, Atlanta Fed, NY Fed, GS, Philadelphia Fed, and author’s calculations.

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