Mistakes in financial economics
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I feel like this is almost deliberately missing the point. My median expectation is that AI boosts the economy enormously, so shorting things would be a terrible idea. But non-trivial tail risk is that it kills everyone. So shorting things would be pointless.
That is from Tom Chivers. It is easy enough to say buy seriously out of the money puts, and be long with the rest of your portfolio. But few (if any) of the worriers are doing that. I should note also that many (most? almost all?) of the
That is from Tom Chivers. It is easy enough to say buy seriously out of the money puts, and be long with the rest of your portfolio. But few (if any) of the worriers are doing that. I should note also that many (most? almost all?) of the
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