🧩 Philosophy Jul 25, 2026 · Robin Hanson

Our Likely Future Filter: World Govt

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Our Likely Future Filter: World Govt
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The great filter (a term I coined) is all the things that block simple dead matter from evolving into an advanced civilization easily seen from far away. Given that we see a vast universe of simple dead matter (~10^24 planets) not so evolved, this filter must be enormous. A few years ago I helped worked out a better math model of it.A key question is: how much of this filter remains ahead of us. And my best guess is: a substantial amount. It is not a try-try type step like many prior hard steps,

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