🌿 Environment Jul 24, 2026 · Zeke Hausfather

State of the climate: Rapidly developing El Niño raises chance of record-warm 2026

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State of the climate: Rapidly developing El Niño raises chance of record-warm 2026
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As 2026 passes its halfway point, the world is watching one of the most rapidly intensifying El Niño events in the modern record take shape in the tropical Pacific.



The developing El Niño is boosting expectations for global temperatures, both this year and next.



El Niño is the warm phase of a recurring climate pattern in the tropical Pacific that releases heat from the ocean into the atmosphere, temporarily raising global temperatures and reshaping rainfall and extreme weather around the w

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