The optimal Bayesian update?
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I see at least three updates one might make from the recent OAI/Hugging Face hacking incident:
1. “This happened sooner than I expected, and the story is more dramatic than I expected,” therefore I am more worried than before.
2. “This happened, and the inferior Chinese cyber-defense seems to have performed just fine,” therefore I am less worried than before.
3. “This happened, and as far as we can tell, absolutely no one was harmed,” therefore I am less worri
1. “This happened sooner than I expected, and the story is more dramatic than I expected,” therefore I am more worried than before.
2. “This happened, and the inferior Chinese cyber-defense seems to have performed just fine,” therefore I am less worried than before.
3. “This happened, and as far as we can tell, absolutely no one was harmed,” therefore I am less worri
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